Objective To investigate the prognostic value of ERBB2 Exon20ins (Exon20ins) in advanced non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients receiving first-line chemotherapy combined with immunotherapy. Methods A retrospective analysis was conducted on clinical data from ERBB2-mutant stage IV NSCLC patients who received first-line chemotherapy combined with immunotherapy at West China Hospital of Sichuan University between 2020 and 2024. ERBB2 wild-type patients were matched using propensity score matching. Clinical pathological characteristics, distant metastatic sites, and treatment outcomes were compared among patients with different mutation statuses. The primary endpoint was progression-free survival (PFS), and Kaplan-Meier method was used to plot survival curves. Cox regression analysis was performed to adjust for confounding factors. Results This study included 41 ERBB2-mutant stage IV NSCLC patients, of whom 22 had Exon20ins mutations, and 19 had other ERBB2 mutations. Forty-one ERBB2 wild-type patients were matched for comparison. The mean age of all patients was 60.0±9.3 years, with 61 males (74.4%). A total of 67 patients (81.7%) received chemotherapy combined with immunotherapy, and 15 patients (18.3%) received chemotherapy combined with immunotherapy and anti-angiogenesis therapy. The Exon20ins group showed a higher incidence of lymph node metastasis compared with the ERBB2 other mutation group and the wild-type group (36.4% vs. 15.8% vs. 9.8%, P=0.045). The median PFS in the Exon20ins group was significantly shorter than in the other mutation group (5.8 months vs. 10.3 months, P=0.025) and the wild-type group (5.8 months vs. 8.3 months, P=0.023). Univariate Cox regression analysis indicated that the ERBB2 Exon20ins mutation was an adverse prognostic factor (Exon20ins vs. other ERBB2 mutations, HR=2.9, 95%CI 1.18 - 7.1, P=0.014; Exon20ins vs. wild-type, HR=2.6, 95%CI 1.25 - 5.6, P=0.014). The combination with anti-angiogenesis therapy did not significantly affect the prognosis of PFS (HR=0.66, 95%CI 0.28 - 1.6, P=0.363). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that the ERBB2 Exon20ins mutation was an independent adverse prognostic factor for PFS (Exon20ins vs. other ERBB2 mutations, HR=3.3, 95%CI 1.27 - 8.3, P=0.015; Exon20ins vs. wild-type, HR=2.7, 95%CI 1.2 - 5.88, P=0.014). For the 67 patients receiving chemotherapy combined with immunotherapy, Cox regression analysis showed that the ERBB2 Exon20ins mutation was still associated with poor prognosis in advanced NSCLC (Exon20ins vs. other ERBB2 mutations, HR=3.2, 95%CI 1.12 - 9.1, P=0.030; Exon20ins vs. wild-type, HR=2.5, 95%CI 1 - 5.88, P=0.040). Conclusions Advanced NSCLC patients with ERBB2 Exon20ins mutation have a worse prognosis compared with those with other ERBB2 mutation subtypes or ERBB2 wild-type when treated with first-line chemotherapy combined with immunotherapy. This suggests that ERBB2 Exon20ins mutation, as a particularly refractory mutation, requires the exploration of new combination strategies based on molecular subtyping to improve survival outcomes.
Objective To use a meta-analysis method to establish quantitatively the association between the HER-2/neu gene amplification/enhanced protein expression status and the 5-year post-operative survival rate or median survival time in women with epithelial ovarian carcinoma. Methods We searched and screened Chinese and English literature published since 1989 to collect all retrospective cohort studies on the prognostic significance of HER-2/neu status in this population. The survival data were analyzed using Ludwig’s centered signed rank and the DerSimonian-Laird method. Results In total, 25 studies involving 3 251 patients were included. HER-2/neu was positive in 27.1% (95%CI 0 to 54.8%) of patients, which was not related to the pathological stage, type or grade of epithelial ovarian carcinoma. In HER-2/neu positive cases, the median survival time was shortened by 0.65 years, and the 5-year survival rate was lowered. The hazard ratio (HR) for mortality was 1.22 (95%C 1.09 to 1.36). By subgroup analysis, HER-2/neu protein expression was found to be most significant in prognostic assessment. Patients with a b positive value of HER-2/neu had an increased HR for the 5-year survival; and platinum-based chemotherapy was demonstrated to be less effective in HER-2/neu positive ovarian carcinoma. Conclusion In gynecological oncology, it is reasonable to measure HER-2/neu as a routine pathological marker to predict a patient’s prognosis and to determine the most appropriate adjuvant chemotherapy regimen.
ObjectiveTo investigate the efficacy and safety of using tamoxifen sequential with the third generation aromatase inhibitors versus the third generation aromatase inhibitors or tamoxifen alone for postmenopausal hormone receptor-positive breast cancer patients.MethodsThe Cochrane Library (Issue 10, 2016), PubMed, EMbase, CNKI, and WanFang Data were searched to collect randomized controlled trials on using tamoxifen sequential with the third generation aromatase inhibitors versus the third generation aromatase inhibitors or tamoxifen alone for postmenopausal hormone receptor-positive breast cancer patients from inception to October, 2016. Two reviewers independently screened literature, extracted data and assessed the risk of bias of included studies, then meta-analysis was performed by using RevMan 5.3 software.ResultsA total of 9 studies involving 22 005 patients were included. The results of meta-analysis showed that the sequential therapy group was superior to the tamoxifen monotherapy group on overall survival (HR=0.71, 95%CI 0.52 to 0.98, P=0.04) and recurrence-free survival (HR=0.60, 95%CI 0.46 to 0.79, P=0.000 3). However, no significant difference was found in overall survival and disease free survival between the sequential therapy group and the aromatase inhibitors monotherapy group. As to adverse events, compared with the tamoxifen monotherapy group, the sequential therapy group could reduce the incidence of endometrial hyperplasia (OR=0.22, 95%CI 0.11 to 0.45, P<0.000 01), death (OR=0.74, 95%CI 0.66 to 0.84, P<0.000 01) and metastasis (OR=0.79, 95%CI 0.68 to 0.91, P=0.001); however, the incidence of bone fracture was higher in sequential therapy group compared with intamoxifen monotherapy group (OR=1.31, 95%CI 1.13 to 1.51, P=0.000 3).ConclusionThe sequential therapy using tamoxifen and the third generation of aromatase inhibitors is better than tamoxifen monotherapy for postmenopausal hormone receptor-positive breast cancer patients. However, there is no significant difference in survival benefit between the sequential therapy and aromatase inhibitors monotherapy.
ObjectiveTo systematically evaluate the potential value of C-reactive protein to albumin ratio (CAR) as an indicator of prognosis and survival in patients with pancreatic cancer. MethodsThe literatures were searched comprehensively in the PubMed, Embase, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, CBM, Wanfang, CNKI, and CQVIP databases from the establishment of the databases to May 20, 2021. The combined hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95%CI) were used to evaluate the correlation between the CAR and the overall survival (OS), progression-free survival (PFS), or disease-free survival (DFS) in the patients with pancreatic cancer. The Newcastle-Ottawa scale (NOS) was used to evaluate the quality of the non-randomized controlled studies, and the Stata SE 15.0 software was used for meta-analysis. ResultsA total of 2 985 patients with pancreatic cancer were included in this meta-analysis of 15 studies. The results of meta-analysis showed that the higher CAR value, the shorter OS [effect size (ES)=0.60, 95%CI (0.50, 0.69), Z=12.04, P<0.001], DFS [ES=0.63, 95%CI (0.47, 0.78), Z=3.61, P<0.001], and PFS [ES=0.41, 95%CI (0.19, 0.63), Z=7.91, P<0.001] in the patients with pancreatic cancer. The results of subgroup analysis of OS according to different countries, sample size, mean age, follow-up time, CAR cut-off value, and NOS score showed that the higher CAR value was related to the shorter OS (P<0.05). The result of linear regression analysis showed that there was no correlation between the CAR cut-off value and lnHR of OS (r2=0.947, P=0.455). Conclusion From results of this study, CAR is closely related to OS of patients, and it is expected to be used as a new reference index for monitoring and judging prognosis of patients with pancreatic cancer.
Objective To approach the surgical therapeutic efficacy of local recurrence of rectal cancer. Methods Fifty-six patients with local recurrence of rectal cancer suffered from reoperation from January 2003 to January2011 in this hospital were collected. Chi-square test was performed to analyze the complete excision rates of reoperation for different recurrent time after radical resection and different surgical procedures after primary radical resection of rectalcancer. The method of log-rank test was used for survival analysis of the Miles and Dixon procedure. Results ①The opera-tion time and intraoperative bleeding of reoperation for local recurrence of rectal cancer were more than those of the primary radical resection of rectal cancer （P＜0.05）. ②The complete resection rate of the local recurrence of rectal cancer in 5 years after primary radical resection of rectal cancer was higher than that of the local recurrence of rectal cancer within 2 years after primary radical resection of rectal cancer， and the difference was statistically significant （P＜0.01）. ③The complete resection rate of the local recurrence of rectal cancer of the technique of Dixon in the primary radical resection of rectal cancer was higher than that of Miles， and the difference was statistically significant （P＜0.05）. ④The median survival time and 2-year survival rate and 5-year survival rate of the technique of Dixon in the reoperation were longer or higher than those of Miles， and the differences were statistically significant （P＜0.05）. Conclusions Surgical procedure and postoperative recurrence time after primary operation can both influence complete excision rate of reoperation for local recurrence of rectal cancer. And reoperation for local recurrence of rectal cancer can prolong the survival time.
目的 探讨血管内皮生长因子（VEGF）及受体Flt-1蛋白表达与卵巢恶性肿瘤临床病理和预后的关系。 方法 2000年1月-2004年6月，以SABC免疫组织化学方法检测48例卵巢恶性肿瘤组织中VEGF及其受体Flt-1蛋白的表达。 结果 VEGF和Flt-1蛋白表达与卵巢恶性肿瘤的病理学类型、分化级别及临床分期无明显相关性（P＞0.05）。有淋巴结转移者VEGF和Flt-1蛋白的表达阳性率均明显高于无淋巴结转移者（P＜0.05）。 VEGF 和Flt-1共同表达者平均总生存期为27.88个月，明显短于没有共同表达者的36.04个月（95%CI 为33.42～38.65，P=0.022 3）。 结论 VEGF和Flt-1蛋白表达与卵巢恶性肿瘤的淋巴结转移相关，可作为预测肿瘤转移及预后的指标。
ObjectiveTo systematically review the effect of thalidomide as first-line therapy on postrelapse survival rate of patients with multiple myeloma (MM). MethodsDatabases including PubMed, EMbase, The Cochrane Library (Issue 1, 2007) and Web of Science were searched to collect randomized controlled trials (RCTs) about thalidomide as first-line therapy for MM from 2006 to 2011. Two reviewers independently screened literature, extracted data and assessed the risk of bias of included studies. Then, meta-analysis was performed by using RevMan 5.1 software. ResultsA total of 16 RCTs involving 6097 patients were included. The results of meta-analysis showed that, compared with the chemotherapy alone group, early application of thalidomide could significantly decrease the postrelapse survival rate (HR=1.23, 95%CI 1.05 to 1.45, P=0.002). Subgroup analysis showed that, compared with the chemotherapy alone group, thalidomide maintenance therapy after autologous stem cell transplantation (ASCT) couldn’t decrease the postrelapse survival rate (HR=0.90, 95%CI 0.57 to 1.41, P=0.64), but thalidomide induction therapy before ASCT (HR=1.21, 95%CI 1.01 to 1.45, P=0.04) and thalidomide induction therapy before ASCT combined maintenance therapy after ASCT (HR=1.41, 95%CI 1.13 to1.76, P=0.002) could significantly decrease the postrelapse survival rate. ConclusionCurrent evidence shows that, thalidomide maintenance therapy after ASCT for MM is a better therapy regimen. It couldn’t decrease the survival rate after recurrence, but could increase the disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) of patients with MM. Due to the limited quality of included studies, the above conclusion still needs to be verified by more high quality studies.
ObjectiveThis study aimed to identify independent risk factors for head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) based on the surveillance, epidemiology, and end results (SEER) database and to develop a nomogram model for predicting patient survival outcomes. MethodsPatients diagnosed with HNSCC from 1975 to 2021 were selected from the SEER database. After applying inclusion and exclusion criteria, 2 271 patients were included and randomly divided into a training cohort and a validation cohort in a 7∶3 ratio. Independent prognostic factors were identified using LASSO regression, Cox regression analysis, and the Akaike information criterion (AIC). A nomogram model was constructed, and its discrimination and calibration were assessed using the concordance index (C-index), time-dependent area under the curve (time-dependent AUC), and calibration curves. The nomogram model was compared with the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging system using decision curve analysis (DCA), net reclassification index (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) to evaluate clinical utility and risk stratification performance. ResultsFive independent prognostic factors (age, marital status, N stage, tumor stage, and radiotherapy) were selected to build the nomogram model for HNSCC. The C-index values of the model were 0.731 4 (95%CI 0.714 5 to 0.748 5) in the training cohort and 0.735 1 (95%CI 0.709 1 to 0.761 0) in the validation cohort. The time-dependent AUC values were all above 0.7, indicating good discriminatory ability. Moreover, decision curve analysis showed that the nomogram model provided higher clinical net benefits at different threshold probabilities and performed better than the AJCC staging system in identifying high-risk patients. ConclusionThis study develops a nomogram model based on the SEER database to predict survival outcomes in patients with HNSCC. The model demonstrates high discrimination and clinical utility, offering a personalized prognostic tool for clinicians.
Objective To investigate the relevance among sarcopenia, peripheral inflammatory, and nutritional factors, as well as the impact of sarcopenia on the prognosis of gastric cancer. Methods A total of 174 patients with gastric cancer in Department of Gastrointestinal Surgery in West China Hospital of Sichuan University from July 2016 to December 2020 were retrospectively included. The skeletal muscle index (SMI) of the third lumbar vertebra level was calculated using CT images, and male patients with SMI<52.4 cm2/m2 and female patients with SMI<38.5 cm2/m2 were considered sarcopenia. The key clinicopathological features of patients were collected for prognostic analysis. ResultsAmong the 174 patients with gastric cancer, 73 patients (41.95%) were diagnosed with sarcopenia. Compared with those of non-sarcopenia, the patients who were diagnosed with sarcopenia showed a significantly elder age and lower body mass index (BMI). In addition, males demonstrated a significantly higher rate of sarcopenia. Further, patients with sarcopenia showed a significant increasing in the incidence of postoperative pulmonary infections and length of hospitalization than patients without sarcopenia. The two groups showed significant differences in type 2 diabetes, peripheral C-reaction protein (CRP), interleukin-6 (IL-6), albumin, prealbumin, and hemoglobin. Overall, the multivariate analysis and Kaplan-Meier survival curves indicated that sarcopenic patients had a significantly lower survival rate than the non-sarcopenia patients. Conclusion Sarcopenia is closely related to higher levels of inflammation, malnutrition, and poor prognosis in patients with gastric cancer. Therefore, we should diagnose sarcopenia patients as early as possible, and give nutritional support to the patients.
Survival prognosis in patients with terminal cancer plays an important role in clinical decision-making, policy formulation, and end-stage patient with relatives. To date, foreign researchers have developed multiple survival prediction models based on patient clinical performance, biomarkers and other indicators, along with a large number of studies which have been externally verified, including Palliative Performance Scale (PPS), Palliative Prognostic Score (PaP), Delirium-Palliative Prognostic Score (D-PaP), and Palliative Prognostic Index (PPI), etc. China's research on this topic remains in the primary stage. Therefore, this article reviews the prognostic factors of terminal cancer and survival prediction models as well as applications, in order to provide references for the subsequent construction of survival prediction models for patients with terminal cancer in line with Chinese characteristics.