Objective To analyze and screen the risk factors of both immunohistochemistry and pathology for lung cancer lymphatic metastasis, and to build a mathematical model for preliminary evaluation. Methods By conducting retrospective studies, the information of lung cancer patients in the General Hospital of Air Force from 2009 to 2011 were collected. Both single and multiple unconditional logistic regression analyses were applied to screen total 27 possible factors for lymphatic metastasis. After the factors with statistical significance were selected, the relevant mathematical model was built and then evaluated by means of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis. Results A total of 216 patients were included. The single analyses on 27 possible factors showed significant differences in the following 10 factors: pathological grade (P=0.00), age (P=0.00), tumor types (P=0.01), nm23 (P=0.00), GSTII (P=0.01), TTF1 (P=0.01), MRP (P=0.01), CK14 (P=0.02), CD56 (P=0.02), and EGFR (P=0.03). The multiple factors unconditional logistic regression analyses on those 10 risk factors screened 4 relevant factors as follows: pathological grade (OR=2.34), age (OR=1.02), nm23 (OR=1.66), and EGFR (OR=1.47). Then a mathematical diagnostic model was established based on those 4 identified risk factors, and the result of ROC analysis showed it could improve the diagnostic sensitivity and specificity compared with the single factor mathematical diagnostic model. Conclusion Pathological grade, age, nm23, and EGFR are related with lung cancer lymphatic metastasis, and all of them are the risk factors which have higher adjuvant diagnostic value for lung cancer lymphatic metastasis.
ObjectiveTo learn the outcomes of hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) cases after artificial liver support system (ALSS) treatment and the relevant factors correlated with the clinical outcomes. MethodsIn the period from January 2011 to June 2014, 321 patients with HBV-ACLF were admitted to West China Hospital. The clinical data at baseline, before and after treatment were analyzed by univariate and multivariate logistic regressions to identify the independent risk factors correlated with 30-day outcomes. ResultsOf all the 321 patients, 233 survived and 88 died by the end of a 30-day observation. The univariate analysis identified that the incidences of cirrhosis, hepatorenal syndrome and peritonitis in the death group were significantly higher (P<0.05). The model for end-stage liver disease values, white blood cells (WBC), blood ammonia, creatinine and total bilirubin (TBIL) at different stages in the death group were significantly higher than those in the survival group (P<0.05). In the death group, the HBV-DNA, TBIL decrease after triple ALSS treatments, baseline prothrombin time activity (PTA) and PTA level after triple ALSS treatments were significantly lower (P<0.05). The multivariate logistic regression indicated that WBC (OR=2.337, P<0.001) and TBIL level after triple ALSS treatments (OR=4.935, P<0.001) were independent predicting factors for death within 30 days after ALSS treatment; HBV-DNA (OR=0.403, P<0.001), the decrease of TBIL after triple ALSS treatments (OR=0.447, P<0.001) and PTA level after triple ALSS treatments (OR=0.332, P<0.001) were protecting factors for the 30-day prognosis. ConclusionThese five factors including WBC, HBV-DNA, PTA, TBIL and TBIL decrease after triple ALSS treatments influence the short-term prognosis for HBV-ACLF patients, which are valuable for decision making in clinical practices.
Objective To analysis correlation factors for preoperative sudden death of patients with type A aortic dissection in order to determine clinical management strategy.?Methods?We retrospectively analyzed clinical data of 52 patients with type A aortic dissection who were admitted in Department of Cardiothoracic Surgery of the Affiliated Drum Tower Hospital of Nanjing University Medical School from January 2003 to January 2010. According to the presence of preoperative death, all the patients were divided into two groups, 9 patients in the preoperative sudden death （PSD）group including 7 males and 2 females with their mean age of 52.0±12.1 years；43 patients in the control group including 31 males and 12 females with their mean age of 51.5±10.9 years. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis were used for analysis of preoperative factors related to sudden death.?Results?Univariate analysis result showed 7 candidate variables：body mass index （BMI, Wald χ2=2.150, P=0.143）, time of onset （Wald χ2=2.711, P= 0.100）, total cholesterol （TC, Wald χ2=1.444, P=0.230）, low density lipoprotein cholesterol （L-C, Wald χ2=1.341, P=0.247）, aortic insufficiency （AI, Wald χ2=2.093, P=0.148）, aortic sinus involvement （Wald χ2=3.386, P=0.066）and false lumen thrombosis （Wald χ2=7.743, P=0.005）. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that BMI （Wald χ2=4.215, P=0.040, OR=1.558）and aortic sinus involvement （Wald χ2=4.592, P=0.032, OR=171.166 ）were preoperative risk factors for sudden death, and thrombosed false lumen （Wald χ2=5.097, P=0.024, OR=0.011）was preoperative protective factor for sudden death.?Conclusion?Type A aortic dissection patients with large BMI and/or aortic sinus involvement should receive operation more urgently than others and patients with thrombosed false lumen may have relatively low risk of preoperative sudden death.
Objective To investigate the status of deciduous caries and early childhood caries among 3-5 year-old children of Uyghur and Chinese in Urumqi, and to explore the correlative factors of early childhood caries. Methods According to the criteria recommended by the Third National Oral Health Investigation, and Oral Health Surveys: Basic Methods of World Health Organization, the deciduous caries of 474 Urghur and Chinese children aged from three to five in nine kindergartens were clinically examined. Data were collected by questionnaire from their parents, and the result waw analyzed using Logistic regression analysis. Results The result of logistic regression analysis showed that the variables including nationality, frequency of drinking milk, eating cookie or drinking sweet beverage before sleep, brushing teeth with help, and educational background of the mother were closely related to the incidence of infantile caries. Conclusion The nationality, frequency of drinking milk, eating cookie or drinking sweet beverage before sleep, brushing teeth with help, and educational background of the mother are correlative factors of early childhood caries. Necessary methods for prevention of deciduous caries must be taken into consideration as early as possible, and the bilingual propaganda for preventing and treating caries should be also highly emphasized.
ObjectiveTo analyze the risk factors of multidrug-resistant organism (MDRO) nosocomial infection, and to provide the scientific basis for the prevention and control of MDRO nosocomial infection.MethodsPatients with MDRO in Chengdu Shangjin Nanfu Hospital from 2014 to 2015 were retrospectively collected. The patients were divided into the MDRO nosocomial infection group and the MDRO non-nosocomial infection group. The MDRO infection/colonization, bacterial strain type, specimens type and distribution characteristics of clinical departments were analyzed. Single factor and multiple factor logistic regression analysis were used to analyze the risk factors of MDRO nosocomial infection.ResultsA total of 357 patients of MDRO infection/colonization were monitored, of which 147 times (144 patients) were with nosocomial infections and 213 times (213 patients) were without nosocomial infections. MDRO nosocomial infection incidence rate/cases incidence rate were 0.18%. A total of 371 MDRO bacterial strains were detected, of which 147 (39.62%) were with nosocomial infection and 224 (60.38%) were without nosocomial infections. The MDRO non-nosocomial infections included 175 strains (47.17%) in community infection and 49 strains (13.12%) in colonization. Carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii (52.83%) was the main MDRO strains. Sputum (57.14%) and secretion (35.04%) were main specimens. The top three departments of MDRO nosocomial infection strains were orthopedics (32.65%), ICU (27.89%), neurosurgery (13.61%). ICU [odds ratio (OR)=3.596, 95% confidence interval (CI) (1.124, 11.501), P=0.031], surgical history [OR=2.858, 95%CI (1.061, 7.701), P=0.038], indwelling urinary catheter [OR=3.250, 95%CI (1.025, 10.306), P=0.045], and using three or more antibiotics [OR=4.228, 95%CI (1.488, 12.011), P=0.007] were the independent risk factors of MDRO nosocomial infection.ConclusionEffective infection prevention and control measures should be adopted for the risk factors of MDRO nosocomial infection to reduce the incidence rate of MDRO nosocomial infection.
Objective To analyze the substitution mechanism of surrogate endpoints for traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) clinical efficacy evaluation of chronic heart failure (CHF). Methods To obtain data from the occurrence of surrogate endpoints and cardiogenic death of patients with CHF in 7 hospitals. The causal relationship between surrogate endpoints and cardiogenic mortality was inferred by the Bayesian network model, and the interaction among surrogate endpoints was analyzed by non-conditional logistic regression model. Results A total of 2 961 patients with CHF were included. The results of Bayesian network causal inference showed that cardiogenic mortality had a causal relationship with the surrogate endpoints including NYHA classification (P=0.46), amino-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) (P=0.24), left ventricular ejaculation fraction (LVEF) (P=0.19), and hemoglobin (HB) (P=0.11); non-conditional logistic regression analysis showed that NYHA classification had interaction with NT-proBNP, LVEF, and HB prior to and after adjusting confounders. Conclusions The substitution capability of surrogate endpoints for TCM clinical efficacy evaluation of CHF for cardiogenic mortality are NYHA classification, NT-proBNP, LVEF, and HB in turn, and there is a multiplicative interaction between the main surrogate endpoint NYHA classification and the secondary surrogate endpoints including NT-proBNP, LVEF, and HB, suggesting that when the two surrogate endpoints with interaction exist at the same time, it can enhance the substitution capability of surrogate endpoints for cardiogenic mortality.
ObjectiveTo investigate the risk factor for restenosis of esophageal anastomosis stricture after esophageal cancer operation. MethodsWe retrospectively analyzed the clinical data of 83 patients including 61males and 22 females at age of 58.9(41-81) years with esophageal anastomoic stricture after esophageal cancer operation between January 2002 and December 2013. According to whether the patients developed to restenosis or not, the statistical test and logistic regression was conducted to analyze the risk factors for restenosis. ResultsIn the 83 patients with esophageal anastomoic stricture after esophageal cancer surgery, 35 patients (42.2%) experienced restenosis within the following-up of 1 year. The result of logistic regression analysis indicated that restenosis appeared in 3 months (Wald value=23.3, P < 0.001), the interval between two subsequent sessions of more than 4 weeks at each esophagus dilatation(Wald value=4.8, P=0.029) and the stricture diameter of less than 12 mm after dilation (Wald value=5.8, P=0.016) are the independent risk factors for restenosis in esophageal anastomotic stricture. ConclusionFor the patients with esophageal anastomoic stricture after esophageal cancer operation, we believe that it's conducive to reduce esophageal restenosis if the interval between dilations is within 4 weeks and the diameter of stricture after dilation can reach above 12 mm.
ObjectiveTo explore the selection problem of independent variables and stepwise regression method for multiple logistic regression analysis. MethodsAccording to the data of the case-control investigation for coronary heart disease, age (X1), hypertension history (X2), hypertension family history (X3), smoking (X4), hyperlipidemia history (X5), animal fat intake (X6), weight index (X7), type A personality (X8), and coronary heart disease (CHD, Y) were analyzed by SPSS 18.0 software. The multiple logistic regression analysis was done and the differences of risk factors were compared among 6 kinds stepwise regression variable selection method. ResultsThe univariate analysis showed that no difference was found between CHD group and non-CHD group in age distribution (P=0.116). But the multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that, comparing to population over 65 years old, age was a protective factor on the low age groups (OR< 45=0.100, 0.000 to 0.484, P=0.020; OR45-54=0.051, 0.003 to 0.975, P=0.048). If the age was defined as categorical variable, the risk factors for coronary heart disease were animal fat intake (X6), type A personality (X8), hypertension history (X5) and age (X1), respectively (P < 0.05). If the age was defined as a continuous variable, the effect of age (X1) was not statistically significant (P=0.053). The common risk factors were intake of animal fat (X6) and type a personality (X8) by six kinds method of stepwise variable selection. In addition, the risk factor also included hyperlipidemia history (X5) (forward-condition, forward-LR, forward-wald), hypertension family history (X3), age (X1) (backward-condition, backward-LR) and hypertension history (X2) (backward-wald). ConclusionStepwise regression method should be used to analyze all the variables, including no statistically significant independent variables in univariate analysis. If the categorical variable is regarded as continuous variables, some information may be lost, and even the risk factors may be missed. When the risk factors are not the same by several stepwise regression variable selection method, it should be combined with clinical and epidemiological significance, as well as biological mechanisms and other professional knowledge.
Objective To analyze the factors associated with the adoption of targeted therapy in patients with human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive breast cancer and to generate evidence to inform decision-making on public security policy regarding innovative anticancer medicines for the benefit of patients. Methods The study population comprised female patients diagnosed with HER2-positive breast cancer and treated at Fujian Cancer Hospital from 2014 to 2020. The patients were eligible for targeted therapy. The demographic and sociological characteristics and clinical information of patients were extracted from the hospital information system. We performed binary logistic regression analysis of factors associated with the adoption of targeted therapy in patients with HER2-positive breast cancer. We also divided the participants into two groups according to their tumor stage for subgroup analysis. Results A total of 1 041 female patients with HER2-positive breast cancer were included, among them, 803 received targeted therapy. In September 2017, molecular-targeted medicines for HER2-positive breast cancer began to be included in the local basic health insurance program. Only 282 (35.1%) patients adopted targeted therapy before September 2017, after which this number increased to 521 (64.9%). Among the patients who adopted targeted therapy, most were formally employed (45.8%) and enrollees of the urban employee health insurance program (66.0%). Among those who did not adopt targeted therapy, most were unemployed (42.4%) and enrollees of the resident health insurance program (50.0%). Binary logistic regression analysis revealed that patient occupation, gene expression of estrogen receptor, tumor stage, surgery or not, radiotherapy or not, and undergoing treatment before or after September 2017 were correlated with the adoption of targeted therapy (P<0.05). Conclusions Inclusion of targeted medicines for HER2-positive breast cancer in the health insurance program substantially increased the overall administration of these therapies. Individual affordability is a critical factor associated with the application of targeted therapy in eligible patients. Future policies should enhance the public security of patients with a relatively weak ability to pay and provide insurance coverage for innovative anti-cancer medicines.
ObjectivesTo investigate the level of ankle-brachial index (ABI) of health examination population in Chongqing municipality and analyze the risk factors related to the level of ABI, so as to provide basis for effective evaluation of atherosclerotic lesions and their severity, as well as early detection, intervention and treatment of clinical cardiovascular diseases. MethodsA total of 22 886 subjects aged from 20 to 85 undergoing health examination in the medical examination center of First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University in Chongqing municipality from January to December in 2016 were retrospectively analyzed. ABI and related physiological and biochemical data were collected. The relationship between ABI and age was analyzed using stepwise logistic regression model combined with restricted cubic splines. ResultsThe detection rate of abnormal ABI was 3.31% in 22 886 subjects undergoing health examination with 2.90% in males and 3.92% in females. The subjects aged below 40 presented the highest detection rate of abnormal ABI (6.17%) with 4.72% in males and 8.66% in females. The subjects were divided into two groups, one with ABI≤0.9 and one with ABI>0.9; the differences in age and levels of body mass index (BMI), waist circumference (WC), systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure (DBP), total cholesterol (TC), and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) between the two groups were statistically significant (allP<0.05). Multivariate stepwise logistic regression combined with restricted cubic splines showed that age, gender and BMI were presented as independent factors affecting ABI, among which the age below 40 (OR=2.885, 95%CI (2.445, 3.404),P<0.0001) was the main risk factor. A curve relating age to probability of abnormal ABI was produced after correcting for the influences of sex and BMI, stratified by gender and BMI into different subgroups, showing a U-shaped curve of decreasing initially and then increasing between the probability of abnormal ABI and age. ConclusionsThe detection rate of abnormal ABI based on individuals undergoing health examination in Chongqing municipality was 3.31%. A U-shaped curve of downward trend followed by an upward one was shown between probability of abnormal ABI and age after correcting for the influences of gender and BMI. The clinical significance of ABI≤0.9 for youth population (20 to 40 years old) without cardiovascular risk factors requires further exploration.