ObjectiveTo analyze factors affecting the recovery of postoperative left ventricular function in patients with valvular disease combined with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction [HFrEF, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF)<40%].MethodsThe clinical data of 98 patients with valvular disease combined with HFrEF who underwent surgeries in our hospital from January 2011 to June 2018 were retrospectively analyzed, including 75 males and 23 females aged 9-78 (55.3±11.9) years.ResultsA total of 15 patients were dead after the operation, including 4 deaths within 3 months and 11 mid-long-term deaths after the operation. Ninety-one patients were followed up for more than 6 months (10 months to 8.6 years). The postoperative cardiac function (NYHA) of 91 patients was classⅠ-Ⅱ, the LVEF of 18 (19.8%) patients increased more than 10%, that of 47 (51.6%) patients maintained at the preoperative level, and that of 26 (28.6%) patients decreased. Postoperative LVEF was more prone to recover in HFrEF patients with sinus rhythm before operation (P=0.038), valvular disease mainly in aortic valve (P=0.026), obvious reduction of left ventricular end diastolic diameter in early postoperative period (P=0.017), and higher systolic pulmonary artery pressure (SPAP) before operation (P=0.018). The risk factors for postoperative LVEF deterioration included large left atrium before operation (P=0.014), smaller left ventricle end systolic diameter before operation (P=0.003), and fast heart rate after operation (P=0.019). ConclusionMitral valve prolapse patients with obviously increased left ventricular diameter should receive operation as soon as possible. HFrEF patients with aortic valve disease should receive operation positively. The operation efficacy is satisfactory in the HFrEF patients with high SPAP.
Objective To investigate the 30-day mortality risk factors in elderly patients (≥70 years) with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction (HFrEF) after isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and to construct a nomogram for predicting mortality risk. Methods A retrospective analysis of elderly HFrEF patients undergoing isolated CABG at Tianjin Chest Hospital from 2010 to 2024. Simple random sampling in R was used to divide the dataset into training and validation sets in a 7 : 3 ratio. The training set was further divided into survivors and non-survivors. Univariate logistic regression was performed to identify differences between groups, followed by multivariate logistic stepwise regression to select independent risk factors for death and to establish a death-risk nomogram, which underwent internal validation. The predictive value of the nomogram was assessed by plotting receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision-curve analyses for both the training and validation sets. ResultsA total of 656 patients were included. The training set consisted of 458 patients (survivors 418, deaths 40); the validation set consisted of 198 patients (survivors 180, deaths 18). In the training cohort, univariate analysis showed significant differences between survivors and deaths for creatinine (Cr) level, brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), maximum Cr, intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) use, assisted ventilation, reintubation, hyperlactatemia, low cardiac output syndrome, and renal failure (P<0.05). After multivariable logistic regression with stepwise selection, five independent risk factors were identified: intra-aortic balloon pump (IABP) use (OR=3.391, 95%CI 1.065–11.044, P=0.038), reintubation (OR=15.991, 95%CI 4.269–67.394, P<0.001), hyperlactatemia (OR=8.171, 95%CI 2.057–46.089, P=0.007), creatinine (Cr) (OR=4.330, 95%CI 0.997–6.022, P=0.024), and BNP (OR=1.603, 95%CI 1.000–2.000, P=0.010). Accordingly, a nomogram predicting mortality risk was constructed. The ROC and calibration analyses indicated good predictive value: training set AUC 0.898 (95%CI 0.831–0.966); validation set AUC 0.912 (95%CI 0.805–1.000). Calibration and decision-curve analyses showed good agreement and clinical utility. Conclusion The nomogram incorporating IABP use, reintubation, hyperlactatemia, creatinine, and BNP provides good predictive value for 30-day mortality after CABG in elderly patients with HFrEF and demonstrates potential clinical utility.