Objective To comprehensively investigate the incidence of resorption of lumbar disc herniation, and provide reference data for clinical decision-making. Methods Seven electronic databases (PubMed, Embase, the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, Web of Science, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wangfang data and Chongqing VIP database) were searched for relevant studies that might have reported morphologic changes in lumbar disc herniation when reporting the follow-up results of patients with lumbar disc herniation treated non-surgically from inception to March, 2020. Articles were screened according to inclusion and exclusion criteria, and the total number of patients, number of patients with resorption, and other important data were extracted for analysis. Random effect models were used for meta-analysis, and subgroup analysis, sensitivity analysis, meta-regression analysis, and Egger’s test were performed. Results A total of 15712 articles were identified from these databases, and 48 were eligible for analysis. A total of 2880 non-surgically treated patients with lumbar disc herniation were included in the meta-analysis, 1740 of whom presented resorption. Meta-analysis revealed that the incidence of resorption was 0.60 [95% confidence interval (CI) (0.46, 0.72)]. In subgroup analyses, studies that quantitatively measured the resorption of lumbar disc herniation yielded statistically higher pooled incidence [0.73, 95%CI (0.60, 0.85)] than those that used qualitative methods [0.51, 95%CI (0.34, 0.69)] (P=0.0252). The pooled incidence gradually increased in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) [0.50, 95%CI (0.15, 0.85)], non-RCT prospective studies [0.59, 95%CI (0.48, 0.70)] and retrospective studies [0.69, 95%CI (0.36, 0.95)], but the difference was not statistically significant (P=0.7523). The pooled incidence varied from 0.58 [95%CI (0.54, 0.71)] to 0.62 [95%CI (0.49, 0.74)] after the sequential omission of each single study. There was no significant change in the pooled incidence [0.62, 95%CI (0.43, 0.79)] when only low-risk RCTs and high-quality non-RCT studies were included, comparing with original meta-analysis results. Meta-regression showed that measurements partially caused heterogeneity (R2=15.34%, P=0.0858). Egger’s test suggested that there was no publication bias (P=0.4622). Conclusions According to current research, there is an overall incidence of resorption of 60% [95%CI (46%, 72%)] among non-surgically treated patients with lumbar disc herniation. The probability of resorption should be fully considered before making a decision on surgery.
Objective To systematically evaluate the research quality and efficacy of prediction models for acute kidney injury (AKI) after heart valve surgery, screen key predictive factors, and provide evidence-based basis for clinical risk assessment. Methods Computer search was carried out in PubMed, Web of Science, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, Medline, China Biology Medicine Database, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, Wanfang Database, and VIP Database to collect studies on AKI prediction models after heart valve surgery published from January 2015 to July 2025. The PROBAST tool was used to evaluate the bias risk and applicability of the models, and the TRIPOD was used to assess the reporting quality. Meta-analysis was performed to integrate the effect sizes of high-frequency (≥3 times) predictive factors. Results A total of 24 studies (39 models) were included. Area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operational characteristic curve was between 0.551 and 0.928, and the combined AUC was 0.77 (95%CI 0.72-0.82). The overall bias risk of the models was relatively high (100% of the studies had a high bias risk), only 2 studies conducted external validation, and the models in 10 studies were not validated. In terms of TRIPOD reporting quality, the overall reporting quality of 24 studies was low, with a compliance percentage (number of items) ranging from 36.36% to 77.27%. Meta-analysis showed that age (OR=1.041, P=0.006), diabetes (OR=1.64, P=0.001), hypertension (OR=2.529, P <0.001), blood transfusion (OR=1.49, P=0.001), cystatin C (OR=2.408, P=0.018), history of cardiac surgery (OR=2.585, P <0.001), atrial fibrillation (OR=1.33, P <0.001), and vascular complications (OR=1.22, P=0.008) were independent risk factors for postoperative AKI. Conclusion The clinical applicability of existing prediction models is limited, with high bias risk and low reporting quality, and the methodology needs to be optimized. Eight factors such as age and hypertension can be used as core indicators for postoperative AKI risk assessment. In the future, multicenter prospective studies should be carried out to develop more reliable prediction tools.
ObjectiveZero-events studies frequently occur in systematic reviews of adverse events, which consist of an important source of evidence. We aimed to examine how evidence of zero-events studies was utilized in the meta-analyses of systematic reviews of adverse events.MethodsWe conducted a survey of systematic reviews published in two periods: January 1, 2015 to January 1, 2020 and January 1, 2008, to April 25, 2011. Databases were searched for systematic reviews that conducted at least one meta-analysis of any healthcare intervention and used adverse events as the exclusive outcome. An adverse event was defined as any untoward medical occurrence in a patient or subject in healthcare practice. We summarized the frequency of occurrence of zero-events studies in eligible systematic reviews and how these studies were dealt with in the meta-analyses of these systematic reviews.ResultsWe included 640 eligible systematic reviews. There were 406 (63.45%) systematic reviews involving zero-events studies in their meta-analyses, among which 389 (95.11%) involved single-arm-zero-events studies and 223 (54.93%) involved double-arm-zero-events studies. The majority (98.71%) of these systematic reviews incorporated single-arm-zero-events studies into the meta-analyses. On the other hand, the majority (76.23%) of them excluded double-arm-zero-events studies from the meta-analyses, of which the majority (87.06%) did not discuss the potential impact of excluding such studies. Systematic reviews published at present (2015-2020) tended to incorporate zero-events studies in meta-analyses than those published in the past (2008-2011), but the difference was not significant [proportion difference=–0.09, 95%CI (–0.21, 0.03), P=0.12].ConclusionSystematic review authors routinely treated studies with zero-events in both arms as "non-informative" carriers and excluded them from their reviews. Whether studies with no events are "informative" or not, largely depends on the methods and assumptions applied, thus sensitivity analyses using different methods should be considered in future meta-analyses.
ObjectivesTo systematically review the efficacy of Nordic walking on prognosis of cardiovascular diseases. MethodsPubMed, Web of Science, EMbase, The Cochrane Library, CBM, CNKI and VIP databases were electronically searched to collect intervention studies on the efficacy of Nordic walking on prognosis of cardiovascular diseases from inception to June, 2018. Two reviewers independently screened literature, extracted data and assessed the risk of bias of included studies, then, meta-analysis was performed by RevMan 5.3 software. ResultsA total of 9 studies involving 328 patients were included. The results of meta-analysis showed that: compared with control group, there were an obvious decrease in the values of LDL (MD=–11.38, 95%CI –17.51 to –5.25, P=0.000 3), TG (MD=–21.14, 95%CI –32.33 to–9.96, P=0.000 2), SBP (MD=–7.96, 95%CI −11.45 to –4.46, P<0.000 01) and TC, DBP, BMI (P<0.05). However, there were no obvious differences between two groups in HDL. ConclusionsNordic walking can improve the prognosis of patients with cardiovascular diseases, yet the long-term effect is unclear. Due to limited quality and quantity of the included studies, more higher quality studies are required to verify above conclusions.
Objective To evaluate the application value of optical coherence tomography angiography (OCTA) in obstructive sleep apnea syndrome (OSAS). Methods A comprehensive search of both domestic and international databases was conducted to identify clinical studies on the use of OCTA in OSAS, from the establishment of the databases to May 2024. A meta-analysis was performed using Revman 5.4 software. Results A total of 134 studies were initially identified, with 14 studies meeting the inclusion criteria, encompassing 999 subjects (739 in the OSAS group and 260 in the healthy group). Meta-analysis results indicated that the superficial capillary plexus (SCP) density in the fovea (MD=–2.05, 95%CI –3.75 to –0.35, P=0.02) and parafovea (MD=–1.56, 95%CI –2.44 to –0.68, P=0.000 5) was significantly lower in the OSAS group compared with the healthy group. In the mild to moderate OSAS group, SCP density was significantly lower in the fovea (MD=–2.41, 95%CI –4.32 to –0.49, P=0.01), parafovea (MD=–1.17, 95%CI –2.01 to –0.32, P=0.007), and perifovea (MD=–1.73, 95%CI –2.69 to –0.77, P=0.000 4) compared with the healthy group. In the severe OSAS group, SCP density in the perifovea (MD=–1.33, 95%CI –2.53 to –0.13, P=0.03) was significantly lower than that of the healthy group. SCP density in the whole area (MD=0.36, 95%CI 0.05 to 0.68, P=0.02) was significantly higher in the mild to moderate OSAS group compared with the severe OSAS group. In the deep capillary plexus (DCP) density, the OSAS group showed significantly lower densities in the whole area (MD=–2.16, 95%CI –3.51 to –0.81, P=0.002), fovea (MD=–2.38, 95%CI –4.38 to –0.37, P=0.02), and parafovea (MD=–2.33, 95%CI –3.93 to –0.73, P=0.004) compared with the healthy group. The mild to moderate OSAS group also showed significantly lower densities in the whole area (MD=–2.02, 95%CI –3.33 to –0.72, P=0.002) and parafovea (MD=–1.65, 95%CI –3.04 to –0.26, P=0.02) compared with the healthy group. The severe OSAS group had significantly lower DCP density in the whole area (MD=–2.26, 95%CI –3.85 to –0.66, P=0.006) and parafovea (MD=–1.47, 95%CI –2.31 to –0.62, P=0.000 7) compared with the healthy group. DCP density in the whole area (MD=0.54, 95%CI 0.02 to 1.07, P=0.04) was significantly higher in the mild to moderate OSAS group compared with the severe OSAS group. Regarding the retinal nerve fiber layer (RNFL) thickness, the inferior quadrant (MD=4.01, 95%CI 0.69 to 7.32, P=0.02) and temporal quadrant (MD=4.35, 95%CI 1.88 to 6.82, P=0.000 6) were significantly thicker in the mild to moderate OSAS group compared with the severe OSAS group. In terms of the foveal avascular zone (FAZ) area, the severe OSAS group showed a significantly larger FAZ area (MD=0.06, 95%CI 0.03 to 0.08, P<0.000 01) compared with the healthy group. Conclusion OCTA-related ocular biomarkers may be associated with the occurrence and progression of OSAS and have potential applications in the diagnosis and treatment of OSAS.
ObjectiveTo investigate effectiveness and safety of transcatheter aortic valve replacement in the treatment of aortic regurgitation. Methods PubMed, EMbase, The Cochrane Library, Web of Science, CNKI, Wanfang Data and VIP were searched from inception to August 2021. According to the criteria of inclusion and exclusion, two reviewers independently screened the literature, extracted the data and evaluated the quality of the included studies. Then, Stata 16.0 software was used for meta-analysis. Subgroup meta-analysis of valve type used and study type was performed. ResultsTwenty-five studies (12 cohort studies and 13 single-arm studies) were included with 4 370 patients. Meta-analysis results showed that an incidence of device success was 87% (95%CI 0.81-0.92). The success rate of the new generation valve subgroup was 93% (95%CI 0.89-0.96), and the early generation valve subgroup was 66% (95%CI 0.56-0.75). In addition, the 30-day all-cause mortality was 7% (95%CI 0.05-0.10), the 30-day cardiac mortality was 4% (95%CI 0.01-0.07), the incidence of pacemaker implantation was 10% (95%CI 0.08-0.13), and the incidence of conversion to thoracotomy was 2% (95%CI 0.01-0.04). The incidence of moderate or higher paravalvular aortic regurgitation was 6% (95%CI 0.03-0.09). Conclusion Transcatheter aortic valve replacement for aortic regurgitation is safe and yields good results, but some limitations can not be overcome. Therefore, multicenter randomized controlled trials are needed to confirm our results.
BUGSnet is a powerful R project package for Bayesian network meta-analysis. The package is based on JAGS and enables high-quality Bayesian network meta-analysis according to recognized reporting guidelines (PRISMA, ISPOR-AMPC-NCA and NICE-DSU). In this paper, we introduced the procedure of the BUGSnet package for Bayesian network meta-analysis through an example of network meta-analysis of steroid adjuvant treatment of pemphigus with continuous or dichotomous data.
ObjectiveTo systematically review the effect of different psychological intervention methods on depressive symptoms in patients with inflammatory bowel disease. MethodsPubMed, Embase, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, CNKI, WanFang Data, VIP and CBM databases were electronically searched to collect randomized controlled trials(RCTs) on psychological interventions on depression of patients with inflammatory bowel disease from inception to January 12, 2023. Two reviewers independently screened literature, extracted data and assessed the risk of bias of the included studies. Network meta-analysis was then conducted by using software Stata and GeMTC. ResultsA total of 18 articles, 1 567 patients and 6 psychological intervention methods were included. The results of the network meta-analysis showed that, compared with conventional nursing, music therapy, mindfulness therapy and cognitive behavioral therapy had statistically significant differences in the intervention effect of depression in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (P<0.05); Among the six psychological intervention methods included, there was a statistically significant difference in relaxation therapy compared with music therapy, writing expression and mindfulness therapy (P<0.05); The difference between cognitive behavioral therapy and music therapy and mindfulness therapy was statistically significant (P<0.05), while there was no statistically significant difference in other interventions (P>0.05). The SUCRA ranking probability chart showed that music therapy was the best intervention method for depression in patients with inflammatory bowel disease, followed by mindfulness therapy and cognitive behavioral therapy. ConclusionThe current evidence suggests that music therapy has an advantage in relieving depression in patients with inflammatory bowel disease, followed by mindfulness therapy or cognitive behavioral therapy. Due to the limited quality and quantity of the included studies, more high-quality studies are needed to verify the above conclusion.
Objective To systematically review the effect of different nutrient interventions on the physical function of elderly people with frailty through network meta-analysis. Methods The PubMed, Cochrane Library, EMbase and Web of Science were electronically searched to collect randomized controlled trials of different nutrient interventions on physical function of the elderly with frailty, from database inception to June 30, 2022. Two reviewers independently screened the literature, extracted data, and assessed the risk of bias of the included studies. Network meta-analysis was then performed using ADDIS 1.16.8, GeMTC 14.3, and Stata 15.0 software. Results A total of 13 studies involving 1 144 patients were included. There was no statistically significant difference in handgrip strength, time up to go test, gait speed, and short physical performance battery (SPPB) among different nutrient interventions. Significant differences were not found in vitamin D+ whey protein (VDWP) vs. placebo and Leu vs. placebo in handgrip strength, or VDWP vs. placebo in SPPB. The probability ranking diagram showed that the most effective of handgrip strength, time up to go test, gait speed, and SPPB were milk protein concentrate (MPC80), L-carnitime (L-Car), leucine (Leu), and MPC80, respectively. Conclusion The current evidence suggests that nutritional intervention did not significantly improve physical function in the frail elderly. MPC80, Leu, L-Car, and VDVEWP may play a role in improving the physical function of frail elderly people. Nutritional support programs that increase the above nutrients, combined with exercise training may become a better way to improve the physical function of frail elderly.
ObjectiveTo systematically review the efficacy of different stimulation modalities of repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation (rTMS) combined with SSRI in improving depressed mood after stroke using network meta-analysis. MethodsThe PubMed, EMbase, Cochrane Library, Web of Science, CNKI, VIP, CBM and WanFang Data databases were electronically searched to collect randomized controlled trials (RCTs) related to the objectives from inception to October 1, 2022. Two reviewers independently screened literature, extracted data and assessed the risk of bias of the included studies. Network meta-analysis was then performed by using R 4.2.1software. ResultsA total of 25 RCTs involving 2 152 patients were included. Four types of rTMS stimulation combined with SSRIs were included: high-frequency stimulation of the left dorsolateral prefrontal (l-DLPFC), low-frequency stimulation of l-DLPFC, low-frequency stimulation of the right dorsolateral prefrontal (r-DLPFC), and low-frequency stimulation of the bilateral DLPFC. The results of the network meta-analysis showed that the effect of combining four stimulation methods with SSRI in treating depression was better than that of SSRI alone (P<0.05). Probability sorting results showed that low-frequency stimulated bilateral DLPFC (88.9%) > low-frequency stimulated l-DLPFC (63.1%) > high-frequency stimulation l-DLPFC (57.1%) > low-frequency stimulation r-DLPFC (40.4%). There was no statistically significant difference in the incidence of adverse reactions between the four stimulation methods combined with SSRI and the use of SSRI alone (P>0.05). Conclusion rTMS combined with SSRIs is better than SSRIs alone in improving depressed mood after stroke. Low-frequency rTMS stimulation of bilateral DLPFC may be the best. Meanwhile, the safety of different stimulation methods is good.